Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 7.067474e-05 0.000084 0.000099 0.000116 0.000135 0.000155 0.000178
2025-03-02 5.152018e-05 0.000069 0.000089 0.000113 0.000142 0.000174 0.000213
2025-03-09 4.086509e-05 0.000059 0.000082 0.000110 0.000145 0.000186 0.000236
2025-03-16 3.359793e-05 0.000053 0.000078 0.000110 0.000152 0.000201 0.000264
2025-03-23 2.853742e-05 0.000048 0.000075 0.000111 0.000158 0.000216 0.000290
2025-03-30 2.378622e-05 0.000044 0.000071 0.000110 0.000162 0.000227 0.000313
2025-04-06 1.938145e-05 0.000038 0.000066 0.000107 0.000163 0.000234 0.000329
2025-04-13 1.712766e-05 0.000036 0.000066 0.000110 0.000171 0.000250 0.000357
2025-04-20 1.360104e-05 0.000032 0.000060 0.000105 0.000169 0.000254 0.000369
2025-04-27 1.148236e-05 0.000029 0.000058 0.000105 0.000173 0.000263 0.000389
2025-05-04 9.709479e-06 0.000027 0.000056 0.000104 0.000176 0.000273 0.000409
2025-05-11 8.917136e-06 0.000026 0.000057 0.000108 0.000185 0.000291 0.000440
2025-05-18 7.499890e-06 0.000024 0.000055 0.000109 0.000191 0.000304 0.000466
2025-05-25 5.637081e-06 0.000021 0.000051 0.000104 0.000189 0.000308 0.000480
2025-06-01 4.425469e-06 0.000018 0.000048 0.000103 0.000190 0.000316 0.000499
2025-06-08 3.556846e-06 0.000017 0.000046 0.000102 0.000194 0.000327 0.000522
2025-06-15 2.957501e-06 0.000016 0.000045 0.000103 0.000199 0.000340 0.000549
2025-06-22 2.303798e-06 0.000014 0.000043 0.000102 0.000202 0.000349 0.000570
2025-06-29 1.681357e-06 0.000012 0.000041 0.000100 0.000201 0.000354 0.000585
2025-07-06 1.423026e-06 0.000012 0.000041 0.000102 0.000209 0.000370 0.000616
2025-07-13 9.414191e-07 0.000010 0.000037 0.000098 0.000205 0.000371 0.000625
2025-07-20 6.952725e-07 0.000009 0.000036 0.000097 0.000208 0.000380 0.000647
2025-07-27 5.057019e-07 0.000008 0.000035 0.000097 0.000211 0.000390 0.000668